Silicon Valley Economic Opportunity

Business Analytics & Growth Strategy for 2026 Major Events

Super Bowl LX

February 2026

FIFA World Cup

June-July 2026

Final Four

April 2026

Presentation for Silicon Valley Mayors

Data as of Q4 2024

The 2026 Opportunity

$650M+
Projected Direct Spending
Conservative estimate
1.2M
Visitor Nights
Moderate projection
$80M
Tax Revenue
All government levels
Event Venue Attendance Visitor Profile
Super Bowl LX Levi's Stadium 70,000 + 1M visitors High-income, National
FIFA World Cup Levi's Stadium (6 matches) 420,000 total International, Soccer fans
March Madness Final Four SAP Center 60,000 (3 days) College sports, Families

Source: Host Committee projections, Super Bowl 50 baseline analysis

Silicon Valley Business Landscape

100K+
Small Businesses
Santa Clara County
999K
Employed Population
2023 data
7,000+
Tech Companies
300K+ employees

Top Industries by Establishments

Industry Establishments Employment
Professional, Scientific & Technical Services 5,878 185,800
Health Care & Social Assistance 3,290 107,404
Manufacturing -- 164,530
Other Services 2,477 --

Source: Census County Business Patterns 2023, CA EDD, DataUSA

Silicon Valley vs San Francisco: The Comparison

Business Scale

Small Businesses
100K+
90K
Total Employment
999K
485K
Hotel Rooms
25K
35K

Silicon Valley San Francisco

Key Metrics

Metric Silicon Valley SF
Median HH Income $159,674 $96,265
Employment Change (YoY) -0.27% -2.59%
Retail Stores (10yr trend) Growing -22%
Avg Hotel Rate $180-280 $250-350

Source: Census Bureau, CA EDD 2023, STR Hotel Data

Food & Hospitality: The Growth Story

Santa Clara County: Strong Recovery

84,700
Food & Hospitality Jobs
2024 employment
+33%
Employment Recovery
Since 2020 pandemic low
Year Employment (thousands)
2020 63.7
2022 80.8
2023 84.0
2024 84.7

San Francisco: Slower Recovery

~4,000
Total Restaurants
90%+ independently owned
-20%
Food Service Revenue
vs 2019 (inflation adjusted)

SF Retail Decline

Retail stores dropped from 5,783 (2013) to 4,503 (2023) - a 22% decline over the decade.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics QCEW, FRED Economic Data, CA EDD, SF Controller's Office

Hotel Capacity: The Gap & Opportunity

Current Inventory

Hotel Rooms SF leads by 10,000 rooms
25,000
35,000

Silicon Valley Advantage

Average Daily Rate $180-280 (lower)
Proximity to Levi's 5-15 min
Parking Available Yes
Business Traveler Base Strong

2024 Development Pipeline

557
Rooms Under Construction
Santa Clara County
Project Rooms
Treehouse Hotel, Sunnyvale 254
Marriott Townplace, SJ Downtown 175
Other Projects 128

Bay Area Context: Only 348 hotel rooms opened across the entire Bay Area in 2024 - down 78% from 2023.

Source: Atlas Hospitality Group, Silicon Valley Business Journal

The Problem: Revenue Leakage to SF

Super Bowl 50 Lessons (2016)

  • 🏈 Super Bowl City in SF captured significant visitor spending despite game in Santa Clara
  • 🏨 Hotels filled in Silicon Valley, but entertainment dollars went north
  • 🚌 Transit struggled with demand; visitors defaulted to SF
  • 💰 Small businesses reported mixed results; many excluded from opportunities

Why SF Captures Visitors

Factor SF Advantage
Brand Recognition Global destination
Convention Space Moscone 700K sq ft
Transit Perception BART + Muni + Cable Cars
Entertainment Tourist infrastructure

2026 Goal

Capture 70-80% of event visitor spending in Silicon Valley (vs estimated 50% in 2016)

5 Key Insights

1. Silicon Valley Has More Jobs & Businesses

999K employed vs SF's 485K. 100K+ small businesses vs 90K. The economic base is larger.

2. Food & Hospitality is Booming Here, Struggling There

Santa Clara County: 84,700 jobs, +33% recovery since 2020, 5,000+ jobs added in 2023. SF: -20% revenue, declining retail.

3. Hotel Gap is Real but Manageable

25K vs 35K rooms. But 557 under construction + lower rates = value proposition for visitors.

4. SF Retail is in Structural Decline

-22% retail stores over decade. Silicon Valley growing. Opportunity to capture shifting spend.

5. Brand & Coordination Gap is Our Challenge

No unified "Silicon Valley" identity. 6 cities, 6 strategies. Need regional coordination to compete.

Our Competitive Advantages

🏟
Venue Proximity

"Stay where you play" - hotels minutes from Levi's

💵
Value Pricing

20-30% lower hotel rates than SF

🚗
Parking & Access

Drive-in experience, less congestion

💼
Corporate Base

7,000+ tech companies for hospitality packages

Weather

More reliable for outdoor programming

🍴
Growing F&B Scene

Record new restaurants, diverse cuisines

Visitor Experience: Why Silicon Valley Wins

Safety & Quality of Life

#1
Safest Large City in US
Silicon Valley - SmartAsset 2024
Metric Silicon Valley SF
Violent Crime Rank 3rd lowest (top 50) Higher rate
Property Crime Rank 5th lowest (top 50) Higher rate
Homeless Density Spread (suburban) Concentrated
Downtown Vacancy Lower 36.7%

Cost & Family Appeal

$104
Daily Cost
Silicon Valley avg
$251
Daily Cost
San Francisco avg

Family-Friendly Edge

Safe neighborhoods (Almaden Valley 89% safer than CA avg), excellent schools, Happy Hollow Zoo, tech museums, parks.

SF Perception Challenge

Convention business down 26% (25 events in 2024 vs 34 in 2023). Negative national narrative persists despite improvements.

Source: SmartAsset 2024, FBI UCR 2023, Budget Your Trip, Moscone Center, CBRE

Events Drive Local Business: Proven Impact

Silicon Valley Venue Impact (5 Years)

Venue / Event Impact Metric
Levi's Stadium (Annual) $251M FY 2022-23
Taylor Swift Eras Tour $33.5M 2 nights
College Football Championship $90.2M Single event
SAP Center (Annual) $300M 175 events/yr
Arts & Culture Sector $384.5M County-wide
Christmas in the Park 700K Annual visitors

10-Year Total: Levi's Stadium alone generated $2B+ economic impact, 12,000 jobs, $550M in wages.

Per-Event Business Impact

$43.88
Per Attendee Spending
Local arts events
$65.69
Out-of-Area Visitors
Additional spending

vs National Averages

Metric Silicon Valley National
Concert multiplier 4.3x ticket price 3.3x ticket price
Festival spending $54/person $50/person
Stadium event lift 25%+ restaurants 15-20% restaurants

Business Discovery: 80.4% of Viva CalleSJ attendees discovered new local businesses at the event.

Source: Levi's Stadium Economic Analysis 2023, SAP Center, Americans for the Arts AEP6 2022, Oxford Economics, Viva CalleSJ Study 2024

Recommended Actions for 2025

1. Create Unified Brand

"Silicon Valley Sports Destination" - joint marketing across all 6 cities. Budget: $2-5M. Lead: Joint Cities Task Force.

2. Regional Revenue Sharing

Pool incremental TOT during event windows. Distribute: 40% venue city, 30% hotel inventory, 30% population.

3. Small Business Readiness

Vendor certification, facade grants, multilingual training. $1M in grants via SBA + Chambers.

4. Transit Surge Planning

Negotiate VTA/Caltrain capacity. Event shuttles. Last-mile solutions. Begin Q4 2025.

Marketing Campaign Framework

Campaign Target Message Budget
"The New Bay" National sports fans Innovation + Sports capital $3-5M
"Stay Local, Win Big" Ticket holders Better value, easier access $1-2M
"Silicon Valley Welcomes the World" International FIFA fans Tech capital meets football $2-3M

Economic Impact Projections

2026 Events Combined Impact

Metric Conservative Moderate Optimistic
Total Visitor Nights 800,000 1,200,000 1,500,000
Direct Spending $400M $650M $900M
Total Economic Impact $600M $1B $1.4B
Tax Revenue (All Levels) $50M $80M $110M
Jobs Created 5,000 8,000 11,000

5-Year Legacy Effect

$650M
2026
Event Year
+$100M
2027
15% retention
+$80M
2028
Brand awareness
+$60M
2029
Repeat visitors
+$50M
2030
Baseline lift

Source: Host Committee projections, Super Bowl 50 analysis, Economic multiplier models

The Ask

Regional coordination is essential to capture the 2026 opportunity and prevent revenue leakage to San Francisco

🤝
Form Regional Authority

Silicon Valley Major Events Authority with city managers

📊
Commit to Data Sharing

TOT, business licenses, visitor surveys

💰
Pool Marketing Budget

$5-10M joint investment for unified campaigns

Potential Return

$80M in tax revenue  |  8,000 jobs  |  $940M cumulative impact by 2030

Next Step: Schedule working session with all 6 city managers - Q1 2025

Data Sources & Methodology

Primary Data Sources

  • 📊 Census Bureau - County Business Patterns 2023
  • 💼 CA EDD - Size of Business Data 2015-2024
  • 🏛 DataSF - Registered Business Locations
  • 🏢 San Jose OED - Business tax certificates
  • 🏨 Atlas Hospitality - Hotel development data
  • 📰 SF Controller - Economic reports

Notes on Data

Methodology: Business counts are proxies from multiple sources. County-level data aggregated for Silicon Valley comparison.

Limitations: Business licenses issued at city level; county totals estimated. Hotel inventory includes all class properties.

Projections: Economic impact based on Super Bowl 50 baseline with adjustments for 3 major events and inflation.

For More Information

Full analysis document: silicon-valley-growth.md
Contact: Silicon Valley Economic Initiative

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